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2074 CFL Midseason Quarterback Efficiency Analysis (Week 8)
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Author:  JJ Smitty [ Sun Jan 18, 2026 11:55 am ]
Post subject:  2074 CFL Midseason Quarterback Efficiency Analysis (Week 8)
2074 CFL Midseason - Quarterback Efficiency Analysis

Report Overview

Comprehensive statistical analysis of all quarterbacks with 50+ passing attempts through Week 8 of the 2074 season. Rankings based on Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt (ANY/A), which accounts for passing efficiency, sack impact, and turnover costs.



Methodology

Primary Metrics:
  • ANY/A (Adjusted Net Yards Per Attempt): (Pass Yards - Sack Yards + 20×TD - 45×INT) / (Attempts + Sacks)
  • Passer Rating: NFL standard formula
  • TD:INT Ratio: Touchdown-to-interception ratio
  • Sack Rate: Sacks / (Attempts + Sacks)
  • Y/A: Yards per attempt
  • Cmp%: Completion percentage


Tier 1: Elite Efficiency (ANY/A > 10.0)

1. Reginald Jacobs - Los Angeles Outlaws
219 Att | 135 Comp | 1,970 Yds | 18 TD | 8 INT
  • ANY/A: 10.61 | Rating: 106.0 | Y/A: 9.00
  • Cmp%: 61.6% | TD Rate: 8.2% | INT Rate: 3.7%
  • Sack Rate: 6.4% | Rush: 16-71-0
Analysis: League-leading efficiency metrics across the board. Highest Y/A (9.00) and TD rate (8.2%) among qualified starters. Strong decision-making with 2.25:1 TD:INT ratio. Takes manageable sacks despite high yards-per-attempt. Limited sample size (219 attempts) compared to other top QBs

2. Garrett Ward - San Antonio Stingers
287 Att | 180 Comp | 2,306 Yds | 22 TD | 7 INT
  • ANY/A: 10.57 | Rating: 111.7 | Y/A: 8.04
  • Cmp%: 62.7% | TD Rate: 7.7% | INT Rate: 2.4%
  • Sack Rate: 2.0% | Rush: 24-83-2
Analysis: Remarkable turnaround from 2073 (29 INTs, 54.0 rating). Outstanding 22:7 TD:INT ratio with best sack rate in league (2.0%). High TD production combined with exceptional ball security. Statistically nearly identical to Jacobs in overall efficiency.

3. Clay Rowan - Kansas City Storm
450 Att | 293 Comp | 3,761 Yds | 27 TD | 7 INT
  • ANY/A: 10.12 | Rating: 112.4 | Y/A: 8.36
  • Cmp%: 65.1% | TD Rate: 6.0% | INT Rate: 1.6%
  • Sack Rate: 6.1% | Rush: 26-127-2
Analysis: Volume leader with 450 attempts while maintaining elite efficiency. Exceptional 27:7 TD:INT ratio. Highest passer rating in league. Proves elite efficiency is sustainable at high volume. Most complete statistical profile when combining production and efficiency.



Tier 2: Very Good (ANY/A 8.0-9.0)

4. Timothy Ruth - Tucson Toros
233 Att | 158 Comp | 1,629 Yds | 15 TD | 4 INT
  • ANY/A: 8.66 | Rating: 107.5 | Y/A: 6.99
  • Cmp%: 67.8% | TD:INT: 3.75:1 | Rush: 23-123-3
Analysis: League-leading completion percentage (67.8%). Excellent ball security with only 4 INTs. Three rushing TDs add scoring value. Conservative but highly effective approach

5. Kai Johnstone - Fargo Sodbusters
251 Att | 149 Comp | 1,958 Yds | 15 TD | 7 INT
  • ANY/A: 8.31 | Rating: 94.4 | Y/A: 7.80
  • Cmp%: 59.4% | TD:INT: 2.14:1
Analysis: Maintains strong efficiency from elite 2073 campaign. Good TD production with manageable turnover rate. Solid all-around performance

6. Kirk Fryday - Atlanta Firebirds
380 Att | 253 Comp | 2,768 Yds | 26 TD | 14 INT
  • ANY/A: 8.18 | Rating: 93.9 | Y/A: 7.28
  • Cmp%: 66.6% | TD:INT: 1.86:1
Analysis: High completion rate (66.6%) with strong TD production (26). Turnover rate is concerning (14 INTs). Very low sack rate (3.5%) helps maintain efficiency despite interceptions.



Tier 3: Above Average (ANY/A 6.5-8.0)

7. Ross Tatum - Tennessee Militia
295 Att | 175 Comp | 1,917 Yds | 13 TD | 4 INT | ANY/A: 7.27 | Rating: 90.3
Excellent ball security (1.4% INT rate). Conservative approach with 3.25:1 TD:INT ratio. Adds value as rusher (20-133).

8. Bart Marsh - Alaska Kodiaks
270 Att | 159 Comp | 2,079 Yds | 15 TD | 11 INT | ANY/A: 7.18 | Rating: 84.2
Strong Y/A (7.70) offset by turnover concerns (4.1% INT rate). Solid production but needs better ball security.

9. Kent Tyler - Seattle Spartans
125 Att | 84 Comp | 1,025 Yds | 8 TD | 2 INT | ANY/A: 7.04 | Rating: 105.4
Limited sample but very efficient. Outstanding 67.2% completion rate with 8:2 TD:INT ratio. Small volume raises sustainability questions.

10. Jace Norgard - Brooklyn Brawlers
242 Att | 155 Comp | 1,615 Yds | 10 TD | 6 INT | ANY/A: 6.90 | Rating: 87.2
High completion rate (64.0%) with low sack rate (2.4%). Conservative TD production but reliable.

11. Abraham Corbin - Hartford Attack
142 Att | 88 Comp | 960 Yds | 8 TD | 3 INT | ANY/A: 7.70 | Rating: 93.9
Limited sample showing strong efficiency. Extremely low sack rate (2.7%). Good ball security.

12. Terrence Monroe - Omaha Arrowheads
175 Att | 96 Comp | 1,215 Yds | 9 TD | 3 INT | ANY/A: 6.70 | Rating: 91.1
Excellent sack avoidance (2.7% rate). Adds rushing value (21-78). Solid efficiency in limited volume.

13. Hugh Hemingway - Honolulu Sharks
223 Att | 131 Comp | 1,605 Yds | 7 TD | 3 INT | ANY/A: 6.64 | Rating: 91.0
Strong mobility (23-175 rushing). Good ball security. Low TD production limits upside.

14. J.C. Walton - Atlantic City Aces
102 Att | 68 Comp | 865 Yds | 6 TD | 3 INT | ANY/A: 6.57 | Rating: 92.9
Small sample showing competent efficiency. Adds rushing value (20-115).

15. Connor Van Pelt - Boston Blizzard
174 Att | 95 Comp | 924 Yds | 7 TD | 1 INT | ANY/A: 6.45 | Rating: 95.9
Outstanding 7:1 TD:INT ratio in limited action. Ball security is exceptional.

16. Lucas Malicki - Ohio Aviators
274 Att | 167 Comp | 1,866 Yds | 10 TD | 5 INT | ANY/A: 6.43 | Rating: 90.2
Solid across-the-board metrics. Good ball security. Lacks explosive playmaking.



Tier 4: League Average (ANY/A 5.5-6.5)

17. Jake Mitchell - Philadelphia Generals
227 Att | 140 Comp | 1,563 Yds | 10 TD | 6 INT | ANY/A: 6.19 | Rating: 88.1
Significant improvement from disastrous 2073 (30 INTs). Now league-average starter.

18. Gregory LaPointe - Boise City Stampede
299 Att | 190 Comp | 1,979 Yds | 7 TD | 6 INT | ANY/A: 5.60 | Rating: 81.6
Low TD production (2.3% rate) limits efficiency. Strong dual-threat value (35-192-2 rushing).

19. Junior Tripp - Shreveport Pride
225 Att | 139 Comp | 1,489 Yds | 6 TD | 5 INT | ANY/A: 5.45 | Rating: 81.6
Significant regression from 2073 (103.0 rating, 9.36 AY/A). Very low TD production.



Tier 5: Below Average (ANY/A 4.5-5.5)

20. Randy Hughes - Dallas Vaqueros
245 Att | 156 Comp | 1,720 Yds | 10 TD | 3 INT | ANY/A: 5.29 | Rating: 93.0
Good ball security offset by catastrophic sack rate (9.6% - 26 sacks in 7 games). Protection issues or slow release.

21. David Kaesviharn - Las Vegas Rounders
274 Att | 165 Comp | 1,746 Yds | 9 TD | 9 INT | ANY/A: 5.19 | Rating: 77.4
Major regression from excellent 2073 (8.63 AY/A). 1:1 TD:INT ratio is problematic.

22. Ethan McIntire - Baltimore Bombers
296 Att | 167 Comp | 1,768 Yds | 8 TD | 8 INT | ANY/A: 5.07 | Rating: 77.5
Marginal efficiency. Low TD production. Minimal playmaking ability.

23. Emmitt Cote - Denver Dynomite
246 Att | 125 Comp | 1,460 Yds | 10 TD | 9 INT | ANY/A: 4.96 | Rating: 73.6
Poor completion percentage (50.8%). Below-average across most metrics.

24. Peter Frederick - Miami Talons
253 Att | 149 Comp | 1,894 Yds | 9 TD | 12 INT | ANY/A: 4.74 | Rating: 73.0
Negative TD:INT ratio (9:12). Takes excessive sacks (17 in 7 games). Multiple efficiency problems.

25. Stan Willis - Santa Cruz Privateers
236 Att | 129 Comp | 1,285 Yds | 7 TD | 4 INT | ANY/A: 4.64 | Rating: 79.5
Regression from strong 2073. Takes too many sacks (19 in 7 games, 7.5% rate).

26. Manuel Kerby - Iowa City Argonauts
262 Att | 145 Comp | 1,533 Yds | 10 TD | 8 INT | ANY/A: 4.62 | Rating: 76.7
Improvement from 2073 disaster but still below average. Takes excessive sacks (5.8% rate).

27. Tim Grenda - Oregon Bandits
288 Att | 151 Comp | 1,717 Yds | 12 TD | 12 INT | ANY/A: 4.57 | Rating: 72.4
1:1 TD:INT ratio. Below-average completion rate (52.4%). Consistent inefficiency.



Tier 6: Poor (ANY/A < 4.5)

28. Johnny Reid - New Orleans Voodoo
299 Att | 174 Comp | 1,934 Yds | 11 TD | 14 INT | ANY/A: 3.84 | Rating: 69.0
Catastrophic regression from 2073 elite season (10.98 ANY/A, 116.7 rating). Negative TD:INT ratio (11:14). One of the worst year-over-year declines in league history.

29. Kaden Bey - Death Valley Copperheads
272 Att | 143 Comp | 1,370 Yds | 4 TD | 8 INT | ANY/A: 3.26 | Rating: 57.8
Alarmingly low TD rate (1.5%). More than double the interceptions vs touchdowns. Provides minimal passing value.



Statistical Leaders

Volume Leaders
  1. Clay Rowan (KC) - 450 attempts
  2. Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 380 attempts
  3. Johnny Reid (NO) - 299 attempts
  4. Gregory LaPointe (BOI) - 299 attempts
  5. Ethan McIntire (BAL) - 296 attempts
Yards Leaders
  1. Clay Rowan (KC) - 3,761 yards
  2. Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 2,768 yards
  3. Garrett Ward (SA) - 2,306 yards
  4. Bart Marsh (ALA) - 2,079 yards
  5. Reginald Jacobs (LAO) - 1,970 yards
Touchdown Leaders
  1. Clay Rowan (KC) - 27 TD
  2. Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 26 TD
  3. Garrett Ward (SA) - 22 TD
  4. Reginald Jacobs (LAO) - 18 TD
  5. Kai Johnstone (FAR) - 15 TD
  6. Timothy Ruth (TUC) - 15 TD
  7. Bart Marsh (ALA) - 15 TD
TD Rate Leaders (min 200 att)
  1. Reginald Jacobs (LAO) - 8.2%
  2. Garrett Ward (SA) - 7.7%
  3. Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 6.8%
  4. Timothy Ruth (TUC) - 6.4%
  5. Clay Rowan (KC) - 6.0%
Y/A Leaders (min 200 att)
  1. Reginald Jacobs (LAO) - 9.00
  2. Clay Rowan (KC) - 8.36
  3. Garrett Ward (SA) - 8.04
  4. Kai Johnstone (FAR) - 7.80
  5. Bart Marsh (ALA) - 7.70
Completion % Leaders (min 200 att)
  1. Timothy Ruth (TUC) - 67.8%
  2. Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 66.6%
  3. Clay Rowan (KC) - 65.1%
  4. Jace Norgard (BRO) - 64.0%
  5. Garrett Ward (SA) - 62.7%
Best TD:INT Ratios (min 200 att)
  1. Clay Rowan (KC) - 3.86:1 (27:7)
  2. Timothy Ruth (TUC) - 3.75:1 (15:4)
  3. Ross Tatum (TEN) - 3.25:1 (13:4)
  4. Garrett Ward (SA) - 3.14:1 (22:7)
  5. Reginald Jacobs (LAO) - 2.25:1 (18:8)
Best Sack Rates (min 200 att)
  1. Garrett Ward (SA) - 2.0%
  2. Jace Norgard (BRO) - 2.4%
  3. Abraham Corbin (HAR) - 2.7%
  4. Terrence Monroe (OMA) - 2.7%
  5. Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 3.5%
Worst Interception Totals
  1. Johnny Reid (NO) - 14 INT
  2. Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 14 INT
  3. Peter Frederick (MIA) - 12 INT
  4. Tim Grenda (ORE) - 12 INT
  5. Bart Marsh (ALA) - 11 INT


Notable Year-Over-Year Changes

Biggest Improvements (2073 → 2074)

1. Garrett Ward (SA): 1.96 ANY/A → 10.57 ANY/A (+8.61)
  • 2073: 14:29 TD:INT, 54.0 rating
  • 2074: 22:7 TD:INT, 111.7 rating
  • Most dramatic turnaround in league history
2. Reginald Jacobs (LAO): New starter replacing Heath Brooks
  • Brooks (2073): 5.41 ANY/A, 79.4 rating
  • Jacobs (2074): 10.61 ANY/A, 106.0 rating
  • +5.20 ANY/A improvement for franchise
3. Jake Mitchell (PHI): 1.71 ANY/A → 6.19 ANY/A (+4.48)
  • 2073: 17:30 TD:INT disaster
  • 2074: 10:6 TD:INT, league-average efficiency
Biggest Declines (2073 → 2074)

1. Johnny Reid (NO): 10.98 ANY/A → 3.84 ANY/A (-7.14)
  • 2073: 40:9 TD:INT, 116.7 rating (elite)
  • 2074: 11:14 TD:INT, 69.0 rating (poor)
  • From league-best to bottom-tier
2. Junior Tripp (SHR): 8.66 ANY/A → 5.45 ANY/A (-3.21)
  • 2073: 32:12 TD:INT, 103.0 rating
  • 2074: 6:5 TD:INT, 81.6 rating
  • Major efficiency regression
3. David Kaesviharn (LV): 7.78 ANY/A → 5.19 ANY/A (-2.59)
  • 2073: 21:5 TD:INT elite efficiency
  • 2074: 9:9 TD:INT mediocre play


League-Wide Observations

Distribution of Efficiency
  • Elite (>10.0 ANY/A): 3 QBs (8.3%)
  • Very Good (8.0-10.0): 3 QBs (8.3%)
  • Above Average (6.5-8.0): 9 QBs (25.0%)
  • League Average (5.5-6.5): 3 QBs (8.3%)
  • Below Average (4.5-5.5): 8 QBs (22.2%)
  • Poor (<4.5): 2 QBs (5.6%)
  • Insufficient Data (<200 att): 8 QBs (22.2%)
Key Trends

1. Top-Heavy Elite Performance
Three QBs (Jacobs, Ward, Rowan) have separated themselves with 10+ ANY/A. This represents exceptional efficiency rarely seen league-wide. All three feature high TD rates (6.0%+) and strong ball security.

2. Turnover Differential Matters
The six QBs with negative or 1:1 TD:INT ratios all rank in bottom third of efficiency. Turnovers remain the strongest predictor of poor QB play.

3. Volume vs Efficiency
Clay Rowan proves elite efficiency is sustainable at high volume (450 attempts, 10.12 ANY/A). However, several high-volume QBs (Reid 299 att, Frederick 253 att) struggle with efficiency.

4. Sophomore Slumps and Breakouts
  • Ward's turnaround (+8.61 ANY/A) shows dramatic improvement is possible
  • Reid's collapse (-7.14 ANY/A) demonstrates elite performance isn't guaranteed to continue
  • Small sample 2073 performers (Kaesviharn, Tripp) have regressed toward mean
5. Sack Rate Impact
Hughes (9.6% sack rate) and Willis (7.5% sack rate) show how protection issues can tank otherwise competent QBs. Conversely, Ward (2.0%) and Norgard (2.4%) benefit significantly from clean pockets.

6. The Dual-Threat Advantage
Ruth (3 rush TDs), LaPointe (35-192-2), Hemingway (23-175) demonstrate QB rushing adds scoring value, particularly in goal-line situations.

7. TD Rate as Efficiency Predictor
The top 5 TD rate leaders (Jacobs 8.2%, Ward 7.7%, Fryday 6.8%, Ruth 6.4%, Rowan 6.0%) all rank in top tier efficiency. Conversely, Bey (1.5%) and LaPointe (2.3%) struggle with low TD rates.



Matchup Implications

Most Dangerous QBs (ANY/A > 8.0)
Facing these QBs requires premium game planning:
  • Reginald Jacobs (LAO) - 10.61 ANY/A
  • Garrett Ward (SA) - 10.57 ANY/A
  • Clay Rowan (KC) - 10.12 ANY/A
  • Timothy Ruth (TUC) - 8.66 ANY/A
  • Kai Johnstone (FAR) - 8.31 ANY/A
  • Kirk Fryday (ATL) - 8.18 ANY/A
Exploitable QBs (ANY/A < 5.0)
Defenses should have success against:
  • Kaden Bey (DV) - 3.26 ANY/A
  • Johnny Reid (NO) - 3.84 ANY/A
  • Tim Grenda (ORE) - 4.57 ANY/A
  • Manuel Kerby (IOW) - 4.62 ANY/A
High Variance QBs
These QBs can hurt you or help you depending on turnover luck:
  • Kirk Fryday (ATL) - High TDs (26) but high INTs (14)
  • Bart Marsh (ALA) - Explosive (7.70 Y/A) but 11 INTs
  • Peter Frederick (MIA) - Negative TD:INT ratio (9:12)


Methodology Notes

ANY/A Formula:
(Passing Yards - Sack Yards + 20×Touchdowns - 45×Interceptions) / (Pass Attempts + Sacks)

Why ANY/A?
  • Accounts for sack impact (yards lost + lost play)
  • Values TDs appropriately (+20 yards worth ~1.4 expected points)
  • Penalizes INTs heavily (-45 yards worth ~-3.0 expected points)
  • Strong historical correlation with team success
  • Better predictor than passer rating for team wins
Sample Size Considerations:
QBs with <200 attempts should be evaluated cautiously. Small samples can produce extreme efficiency metrics (both positive and negative) that may not be sustainable. QBs like Tyler (125 att), Corbin (142 att), and Van Pelt (174 att) show strong efficiency but lack volume validation.



Report compiled from official CFL statistics through Week 8, 2074 season
Analysis is descriptive and based on publicly available statistical data
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