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 Post subject: Playoff outlook - We
PostPosted: Sun Nov 13, 2005 3:20 pm 
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[u6c12c83][b6c12c83]Western Conference: [/b6c12c83][/u6c12c83]

1. [color=blue6c12c83]Boise [/color6c12c83](13-2)
2. [color=blue6c12c83]Denver [/color6c12c83](11-4)
3. [color=green6c12c83]Honolulu [/color6c12c83](10-5)
4. Long Beach (8-7)
5. [color=green6c12c83]Tulsa [/color6c12c83](10-5)
6. Tucson (9-6)
----------------------
7. Las Vegas, Anchorage, El Paso, Sacramento,(8-7)

[b6c12c83]No turning back: [/b6c12c83]
Boise has clinched the Ring of Ice division, a 1st round bye and homefield advantage.
Denver has clinched the Cavalry division.
Honolulu has clinched at least a wildcard berth.

Huntington Beach, Seattle, Fargo, Oregon, Santa Cruz and Arizona have been eliminated from playoff contention.

[b6c12c83]Clinch scenarios: [/b6c12c83]
-Denver can clinch a 1st round bye with a win OR a Honolulu loss.
- Honolulu can clinch the Ring of Fire division with a win. Honolulu can also clinch a 1st round bye with a win AND a Denver loss.
- Tucson can clinch the Ring of Fire division with a win AND a Honolulu loss. With a Honolulu win, Tucson can still clinch a wildcard with a win.
- Long Beach can clinch the San Andreas division with a win AND a Sacramento loss.
- Sacramento can clinch the San Andreas division with a win AND a Long Beach loss.

If Long Beach and Sacramento both win or both lose, the tiebreaker will come down to strength of victory. [i6c12c83]Apparently[/i6c12c83], Long Beach holds the edge there but things are not definite at all.

For discussion on the attribution of the remaining wild card berth, see the excellent thread started by timmynausea http://www.thecfl.net/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1968

[b6c12c83]Tiebreaker Explanation: [/b6c12c83]
Denver beats Tulsa on better division record.
Tucson beats Honolulu on head to head.
Honolulu beats Tulsa on head to head.
Honolulu beats Denver on head to head.
Long Beach beats Sacramento on strength of victory (special thanks to Joe and timmy who calculated this in another thread)


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